MULING tinapyasan ng Moody’s Investors Service ang growth projection nito para sa ekonomiya ng Pilipinas ngayong taon sa gitna ng patuloy na pakikipaglaban ng bansa sa COVID-19.
Sa pagtaya ngayon ng international debt watcher, ang economic output ng Pilipinas ay lalago lamang ng 4.8% para sa taon, bumaba mula sa 5.8% forecast nito noong Hulyo. Ang July figure ay isa ring downgrade mula sa 7% projection nito noong Enero.
Ayon sa Moody’s, ang pagbabalik sa mahigpit na lockdowns noong Agosto dahil sa surge sa COVID-19 “was weighing on the outlook for growth in the third quarter of 2021 and delaying the normalization of economic activity further.”
Ang September forecast ay pasok sa 4-5% na itinakda ng mga economic manager para sa taon kung saan tinukoy rin ng team ang muling pagpapatupad ng mas mahigpit na quarantine measures sa gitna ng banta ng Delta variant.
“As of mid-August, only 17% of the population has received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine and 11% was fully inoculated, underscoring the ongoing risks related to the near-term growth outlook,” paliwanag ng credit rater.
Ang mga kaganapang ito ay nag-udyok din sa Moody’s na ibaba ang growth projection nito para sa bansa sa susunod na taon sa 6.5% mula sa 6.8%.
“This reflects the view that the recovery from the acute shock posed by the coronavirus pandemic will restore rapid economic growth relative to peers, complemented by the stabilization and eventual reversal of the deterioration in fiscal and debt metrics,” dagdag pa nito.
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